Lets hypothetically assess what could happen…
The stock market takes a drop…
The interest rate goes up…
Banks/Freddie/Fannie decide to liquidate REO again…
NEW YORK (CNNMoney)
A tax break that has saved struggling homeowners from paying thousands of dollars to the IRS is just days away from expiring.
If the Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act of 2007 does not get extended by Congress by the end of the year, homeowners will have to start paying income taxes on the portion of their mortgage that is forgiven in a foreclosure, short sale or principal reduction.
That means if someone owes $150,000 on their home and it sells for $100,000 in a foreclosure auction, they could owe taxes on the remaining $50,000. For someone in the 25% tax bracket, that would mean paying $12,500 in taxes on the foreclosure. Similar taxes would apply for amounts that were forgiven in short sales and principal reductions.
“Allowing the act to expire would harm these families and their communities and it would run counter to current loss mitigation efforts,” wrote Tim Pawlenty, president of the Financial Services Roundtable, Mike Calhoun, president of the Center for Responsible Lending, and John Dalton, president of the Housing Policy Counsel in a letter to the Senate Finance Committee.
So far, though, very little has been done to extend the act as Republicans and Democrats continue to butt heads over the fiscal cliff.
Many mortgage borrowers would be affected. More than 50,000 homeowners lose homes to foreclosure each month. Meanwhile, the number of short sales has tripled over the past three years to a rate of about half a million a year. And, under the terms of the $25 billion foreclosure abuse settlement, roughly one million borrowers may have their mortgage debt lowered through principal reductions over the next couple of years.
“If there ever was a no-brainer in housing policy, this would be it,” said Jaret Seiberg, a policy analyst for Guggenheim Securities.
Congress may return to the act after the other fiscal cliff issues are resolved, but by then the housing market will have taken a hit, said Elise Brooks Perkins, communications director for the Financial Services Roundtable. “It can be done retroactively, but the lag time will have a chilling effect on homeowners considering a short-sale,” she said.
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Most short sellers will not follow through on sales to closing without debt forgiveness in place. Instead they’ll fight foreclosure, prolonging the housing crisis.
Congressman Brad Miller, however, said he doesn’t see debt forgiveness passing unless it’s part of a larger fiscal cliff deal.
Still, the price tag for such an exemption could make it a point of contention, said Seiberg. The office of Sen. Max Baucus, who heads the Senate Finance Committee, estimated the cost of a one-year extension at $1.3 billion.
Even if Congress allowed the mortgage debt forgiveness to expire, not all borrowers who lose their home to foreclosure, sell their home in a short sale or have their principal reduced will take a tax hit. If the debt is discharged in a bankruptcy, no tax is due. And anyone who is insolvent — meaning they have more debt than assets — at the time the debt was forgiven would not have to pay the tax.